Key Insights
- 2024 price forecast: The average year-end prediction for bitcoin (BTC) is $77,636.
- Peak and trough predictions: The end of 2024 could be rocky, with the average high prediction for BTC being $86,386, while the average low point is forecast at just $46,456.
- Election influence: One major theme from the report is how much the US presidential election and the economic policies of each candidate will impact the value of bitcoin in the short term.
- Trump the Crypto candidate: 61% of panel members think Trump is the most DeFi-friendly choice.
- World Liberty Financial (WLF) launch: The panel evenly split on whether World Liberty Financial (WLF) is a good idea.
The US election is upon us and the majority of Finder’s Cryptocurrency Price Prediction panel says that a win for Trump is a win for crypto. Notably, around double the number of panel members said they are unsure (21%) over those who believe Harris (11%) will be the candidate more open to policies regarding DeFi.
Gracy Chen, the CEO of Bitget, says that Trump’s record in regards to deregulation is a sign that he’d be more open to allowing crypto to grow without much governmental oversight.
“If Trump were to take a more open stance on DeFi (decentralized finance), it could align with his pro-business and deregulation approach, which supports innovation and market-driven growth. He has a history of reducing regulations to create an environment where businesses thrive with minimal government intervention. DeFi’s focus on decentralization and limited central authority might resonate with his policy views.”
However, she notes that “Trump’s previous criticisms of cryptocurrency could present challenges. Whether he embraces DeFi might depend on finding a balance between fostering innovation and addressing security concerns.”
Miles Paschini, the CEO of FV Bank, also cites Trump’s commercial focus and believes that he will be more supportive of the sector via his legislation.
“Trump is far more commercially oriented than the other candidates and is more likely to recognize the opportunity for the US to be a leader in blockchain technologies, creating jobs, investment and competitive advantages as a nation. For these reasons, he will support more innovative, friendly legislation.”
For Ben Ritchie, the managing director of Alpha Node, it’s not so much stated policies, but the fact that the Republican Party has been more willing to explore the DeFi space up until now.
“The Republicans are outwardly engaging with the crypto community offering support, whilst the Democrats have recognized crypto is a key community to win, they have provided very little direction on their support for the sector.”
Dre Villeroy, the CEO of Beyorch, thinks that if Harris wins, we may see a push toward more environmentally friendly ways for mining BTC.
“Harris has never openly backed bitcoin, but if she wins the election she’s likely to continue Biden’s policies and concentrate political recourses to Fintech-innovations. I think it’s very likely for Harris to push policies toward greener Bitcoin mining to reduce problematic energy consumption.”
John Hawkins, a Senior lecturer at the University of Canberra, sees Harris being the candidate more open to DeFi policy based on Trump’s record.
“Trump has very little interest in policies in general. He seemed to do nothing much in the area when he was president. He has flipped from calling crypto a scam to embracing some of its promoters when he thinks there could be votes and donations in it.”
Jeremy Britton, the CFO of BostonTrading.co, goes a step further saying:
“Anyone who thinks that DJT is ‘crypto-friendly’ must ignore what he says and look closely at what he has done. Trump has been a net seller of crypto, not a buyer. His NFTs have zero utility. Trump claims he could pay off the US federal debt by using crypto; even fourth-grade math would show that is impossible. I do not know of any politician who fully grasps crypto and the potential of blockchain, so I am not in support of any candidate. I merely recognize when a politician is lying.”
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
When asked whether they think Trump’s new DeFi project, World Liberty Financial (WLF), is a good idea so close to the election. The panel is evenly split, with a third each being either for, against or unsure about it being a good idea.
Karlo Bujas, a graduate trading analyst at Wirex, sees the project as an attractive project for undecided voters who are interested in the DeFi space.
“I believe the people in the United States who are going to vote for Trump will not change their minds because of this project, so he will not, in my opinion, lose any voters he would have had without the project. If someone who was unsure who to vote for, and is involved with crypto, believes that this makes Trump the pro-crypto candidate, it might sway them to vote for him. In other words, I don’t believe Trump will lose voters because of this project and potentially only gain some.”
Daniel Keller, the CEO of InFlux Technologies, says that WLF highlights Trump’s pro-business stance and could help strengthen the US’s position as a leader in the space.
“I think Trump’s new DeFi project could be a good idea, even with the election approaching, as it aligns with his pro-business stance and could drive innovation in the financial sector. DeFi has the potential to create new jobs, boost economic activity and increase prosperity for the US by decentralizing finance and making it more accessible. If implemented well, it could strengthen the US’s position as a leader in blockchain and cryptocurrency, while also appealing to younger, tech-savvy voters who are interested in decentralized technologies.”
Ruslan Lienkha, the chief of markets at YouHodler, doesn’t see the project moving the space forward and views WLF as a more traditional financial instrument.
“I do not see any meaningful advantages compared to other similar projects in the crypto space. Furthermore, the WLFI token appears more like a traditional financial instrument than a native crypto asset, given that it will be registered with the SEC and available only to accredited investors as an unregistered security. As such, I don’t anticipate the project having significance. It will not help to win elections but might help to promote the project itself.”
Joseph Raczynski, a futurist at JT Consulting, sees the project as a black mark and will further fuel the fire of people who look at crypto as a scam.
“It’s cringeworthy. Unfortunately, it feels more like a cash grab than a legitimate DeFi project. It also draws a direct line for skeptics from crypto to Trump, further undermining the industry.”
Ryan Gorman, a partner at BABs, says that going on history, this will be another failure in a long line of busts for Trump.
“Every single business that Trump has been associated with has failed. The man somehow bankrupted multiple (MULTIPLE!) casinos. He is not nearly the astute businessman people think he is. Us New Yorkers have seen his grift for decades and know better.”
Jeremy Britton, the CFO at BostonTrading.co shares similar sentiments, citing a list of failed Trump-backed projects in the past.
“Trump’s entire life and business history has been self-serving. More than half a dozen bankruptcies, including losing money on a casino? So many disasters forever taint the Trump brand. The fake-tan, fake-billionaire had to fundraise from his followers to pay for his many criminal convictions. His business profits are as ephemeral as his hair. Trump crypto will be just as profitable as Trump Steaks, Trump University, Trump Casino and Trump Vodka.”
Meet the panel
Panel members, along with weighing in on what they thought would happen to the DeFi space post-election, were also asked to give their predictions on what they thought the price of bitcoin would do by the end of 2024 and whether it’s time to buy, sell or hold BTC as part of Finder’s October 2024 Cryptocurrency Price Prediction report. Their responses are below:
Ajay Shrestha
Ajay Shrestha
Prediction
$42,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
It's tough to say definitively because most candidates haven't directly addressed DeFi in their platforms. Generally, someone like Chase Oliver, with libertarian leanings, might be more inclined to support policies that encourage financial innovation and reduce regulatory barriers. He'd likely focus on promoting a more open and decentralized financial system, minimizing government interference. Others, like Kamala Harris, might focus more on regulatory oversight and consumer protection, aiming to prevent fraud and ensure security in these emerging markets. Without clear policy statements from the candidates, it's all a bit speculative at this point.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Launching a DeFi project so close to the election could be seen as a double-edged sword. It might attract tech-savvy voters who are excited about financial innovation, but it's a complex topic that most people aren't familiar with. This could end up confusing or even alienating Trump's base, who might not see the relevance of DeFi to their everyday concerns. Plus, with all the regulatory uncertainty around DeFi, it could draw unwanted attention and create more controversy than support. It's a bold move, but it's hard to say if it'll help or hurt him in the end.
Alexander Kuptsikevich
Alexander Kuptsikevich
Prediction
$80,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Chase Oliver sounds like a libertarian, but I think he has no chance of being elected president. Between Trump and Harris, the former sounds more dovish so far.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Ben Ritchie
Ben Ritchie
Prediction
$85,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
The Republicans are outwardly engaging with the crypto community, offering support. While the Democrats have recognized crypto is a key community to win, they have provided very little direction on their support for the sector.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump's new DeFi project is more a market signal of his understanding and support of the sector. As a commercial businessman, he has always blurred the lines between governance and profit, and this is another example of it.
Ben Waterman
Ben Waterman
Prediction
$75,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump has a history of open and growth-oriented fiscal and monetary policy.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
The politicization of DeFi / crypto projects is polarising and will alienate outsiders. It has generally not been a good idea historically to mix politics and crypto.
Gracy Chen
Gracy Chen
Prediction
$84,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketHenry Robinson
Henry Robinson
Prediction
$85,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
I believe a shift in policy focus is likely due to the recent pledge for a Bitcoin reserve and a change of leadership at the SEC, which could result in a more favorable approach to crypto regulation. Key policy areas would likely include clearer guidelines for crypto financial products, improved custody and security measures for Bitcoin reserves, and increased transparency in ETF operations. These changes would help foster greater trust and integration of Bitcoin into mainstream finance, driving broader adoption and potentially bolstering market confidence.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
I think Trump's new DeFi project could be a good idea, even with the election approaching, as it aligns with his pro-business stance and could drive innovation in the financial sector. DeFi has the potential to create new jobs, boost economic activity and increase prosperity for the US by decentralizing finance and making it more accessible. If implemented well, it could strengthen the US's position as a leader in blockchain and cryptocurrency, while also appealing to younger, tech-savvy voters who are interested in decentralized technologies.
Jeremy Britton
Jeremy Britton
Prediction
$97,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump is pro-crypto, especially with his newly formed World Liberty Financial and his funding coins. He will be working with Elon Musk, another crypto supporter, to make the crypto more accessible and wider usage. However, DeFi is another issue, and he will do so that the government will be involved in the legislation and not make it 100% open, but making sure his DeFi platform will be the defacto safe place to bridge the consumers and government. Think of it as another PayPal. Moreover, Trump stressed the non-support of CBDC, meaning having a third party DeFi platform is the direction.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
It's about bringing power back to the common people, for them to have a choice to use crypto in a safer and more manageable area. This rides well with voters as governments were always trying to force people to use their platforms for taxation purposes, especially now when everyone is having a hard time living.
Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah
Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah
Prediction
$00Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump is a businessman and understands that the crypto world has a lot of involvement with people who own a lot of money.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Yes, because it helps to bring more people to Trump's campaign who are crypto investors.
John Hawkins
John Hawkins
Prediction
$40,000Buy/sell/hold
SellsellWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Harris has never openly backed bitcoin, but if she wins the election, she's likely to continue Biden's policies and concentrate political resources on Fintech innovations. I think it's very likely for Harris to push policies toward greener Bitcoin mining to reduce problematic energy consumption.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump is a wild card and never walks in a straight line. With elections around the corner, any mistakes or likely missteps will lead to increased scrutiny and could pose conflict and distraction from the very political campaign itself. So, no — not a good idea.
Johnny Gabriele
Johnny Gabriele
Prediction
$90,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
If Trump were to take a more open stance on DeFi (decentralized finance), it could align with his pro-business and deregulation approach, which supports innovation and market-driven growth. He has a history of reducing regulations to create an environment where businesses thrive with minimal government intervention. DeFi's focus on decentralization and limited central authority might resonate with his policy views.
In terms of specific policies, a Trump administration might prioritize:
- Deregulation: Lowering regulatory burdens for blockchain and DeFi startups to reduce compliance costs.
- Tax Incentives: Offering tax breaks to encourage capital flow into blockchain and DeFi, positioning the US as a leader in this space.
- National Security: Creating policies to ensure DeFi platforms aren't used for illegal activities, focusing on anti-money laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) standards.
- Public-Private Collaboration: Promoting partnerships between DeFi projects and traditional financial institutions to integrate innovation into the mainstream economy.
However, Trump's previous criticisms of cryptocurrency could present challenges. Whether he embraces DeFi might depend on finding a balance between fostering innovation and addressing security concerns.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
If Trump were to launch a DeFi project before the election, it would be a bold yet risky move. On the positive side, it could attract younger, tech-savvy voters who are interested in crypto and blockchain, aligning with his pro-business stance. However, DeFi is still volatile, and any missteps, such as security breaches or regulatory issues, could backfire. Moreover, DeFi's association with fraud or scams could become a target for opponents, especially during heightened regulatory scrutiny, diverting attention from his core campaign message. Timing is a significant challenge here.
Desmond Marshall
Desmond Marshall
Prediction
$65,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Josh Fraser
Josh Fraser
Prediction
$92,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketLee Smales
Lee Smales
Prediction
$40,000Buy/sell/hold
SellsellWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Pedro Febrero
Pedro Febrero
Prediction
$90,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump has very little interest in policies in general. He seemed to do nothing much in the area when he was president. He has flipped from calling crypto a scam to embracing some of its promoters when he thinks there could be votes and donations in it.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
It would just create yet another conflict of interest were he to become president.
Ronen Cojocaru
Ronen Cojocaru
Prediction
$125,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Kamala has never mentioned DeFi to my knowledge. Trump seems to be open to financial innovation although I wish he wouldn't have launched his own DeFi product.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Someone running for president should be sparing on financial innovation, not leading the vanguard. It's too risky for individuals, Trump and the industry at large.
Ruslan Lienkha
Ruslan Lienkha
Prediction
$80,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Harris has been closely watched and only recently uttered the word 'blockchain,' which has led many to think she'll maintain the anti-crypto stance of the Biden/Harris administration. That would be more bearish for the near term.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
It's cringeworthy. Unfortunately, it feels more like a cash grab than a legitimate DeFi project. It also draws a direct line for skeptics from crypto to Trump, further undermining the industry.
Simon Peters
Simon Peters
Prediction
$00Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump's new DeFi project may help him gain support from the industry. We've seen this in the past with his NFT projects and accepting crypto for campaign donations.
Miles Paschini
Miles Paschini
Prediction
$76,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Donald Trump has publicly stated he is pro-crypto. Furthermore, he has discussed creating national reserves of BTC if he wins the presidency and has been involved with crypto projects of his own.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
I believe the people in the United States who are going to vote for Trump will not change their minds because of this project, so he will not, in my opinion, lose any voters he would have had without the project. If someone who was unsure who to vote for, and is involved with crypto, believes that this makes Trump the pro-crypto candidate, it might sway them to vote for him. In other words, I don't believe Trump will lose voters because of this project, and potentially only gain some.
Diego Apaza
Diego Apaza
Prediction
$75,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Joseph Raczynski
Joseph Raczynski
Prediction
$100,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump should focus on politics rather than a money-making scheme that involves characters of dubious repute.
Damian Chmiel
Damian Chmiel
Prediction
$70,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump is far more commercially oriented than the other candidates and is more likely to recognize the opportunity for the US to be a leader in blockchain technologies, creating jobs, investment and competitive advantages as a nation. For these reasons, he will support more innovative, friendly legislation.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump would be better off supporting sound legislation than actually promoting a token.
Daniel Keller
Daniel Keller
Prediction
$80,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
I believe Trump sees the commercial benefit of providing clarity and regulation for DeFi activity in the US. Result agnostic, I would expect the US to joust for pole position and maintain its position as a global financial powerhouse. And at some stage, this would mean embracing blockchain and Web3 technologies.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
It could be a part of their strategic campaign to win over voters. Hard to say if it's a good or bad idea at this stage.
Dre Villeroy
Dre Villeroy
Prediction
$70,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handKarlo Bujas
Karlo Bujas
Prediction
$75,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Kimberly Rosales Orbegoso
Kimberly Rosales Orbegoso
Prediction
$40,000Buy/sell/hold
Holdback_handWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Among all the candidates, Trump is the first to offer specific measures and steps to support the crypto industry, aiming to improve the regulatory environment for the sector. In contrast, other candidates have limited their positions to general statements without detailing actionable plans.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
I do not see any meaningful advantages compared to other similar projects in the crypto space. Furthermore, the WLFI token appears more like a traditional financial instrument than a native crypto asset, given that it will be registered with the SEC and available only to accredited investors as an unregistered security. As such, I don't anticipate the project having significance. It will not help to win elections but might help to promote the project itself.
Pav Hundal
Pav Hundal
Prediction
$90,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump has shown far more of a willingness to at least hear out the industry and has launched or been part of a number of crypto-related projects. Democrats held a workshop at the DNC to learn about crypto and are so far behind their GOP rivals that their lack of understanding is alarming at best and worrisome at worst.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Every single business that Trump has been associated with has failed. The man somehow bankrupted multiple (MULTIPLE!) casinos. He is not nearly the astute businessman people think he is. Us New Yorkers have seen his grift for decades and know better.
Ryan Gorman
Ryan Gorman
Prediction
$80,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Did not provide comment.
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Did not provide comment.
Sitaram Kakarlamudi
Sitaram Kakarlamudi
Prediction
$87,000Buy/sell/hold
Buyshopping_basketWhich US Presidential candidate do you believe will be more open to policies regarding DeFi?
Trump has repeatedly mentioned Bitcoin and crypto innovation has to happen in the US. Trump also seems to get involved crypto with his DeFi project Liberty Finance - https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/
Is the launch of World Liberty Financial (WLF) a good idea so close to the election?
Trump has smart people working with him. I think, as a voter, I appreciate Trump for getting his hands dirty by building a project rather than just promising favorable regulations, as building puts you in a better perspective to understand the space well.
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